College Football Week 4 Picks

September 19, 2023 ~ David ~ Leave a comment

That was a pretty great week of College Football last week given a very weak slate. Week 4 is going to be awesome with so many good games in every window. Let’s get into it.

**#4 Florida State Seminoles** **(3-0)**

The Seminoles barely survived an upset from an undisciplined Boston College team and now face their biggest test of the season. The Tigers have been winning with good defense while the offense continues to find its footing. This could be a preview of the ACC title game.

PREDICTION: I said at the beginning that the Noles would lose this game and beat Clemson in the ACC Championship. I’m gonna stick to it. I’m picking Clemson at home to win this game in the upset.

This is a good test to see if the Aggies can get back on track against a quality opponent. It’s also a good test for Auburn to see if their undefeated season hasn’t been a fluke so far. The fact that it’s the first conference game for both teams makes this matchup really exciting.

PREDICTION: I like the Aggies but I do think Auburn’s defense will play a great game. So I will take Auburn +7.5 in the line but A&M wins the game.

The Sooners are rounding into form as the potential team to challenge Texas in the BIG 12. Their conference opener takes them to Cincinnati, where the Bearcats make their BIG 12 debut in front of their home crowd and look to bounce back from a bad loss to Miami (Ohio) last week.

PREDICTION: I think Oklahoma will win because Cincinnati’s offense can’t do much right now. Back to back games of just about 25 points on offense, and that is not gonna get it done against Oklahoma. So give me the Sooners by 13 points.

The magical train ride for Colorado will be taking one of two different tracks the next couple weeks. It will either be smooth sailing, or the train falls off the tracks. This is a big test for Colorado when they journey up to Autzen to take on Oregon, an experienced team that has been firing on all cylinders so far. Should be an electric atmosphere in Eugene on Saturday.

PREDICTION: The loss of Travis Hunter might be a problem for the Buffs, but this is more abut how powerful Oregon is in the trenches. I think the Ducks will be stout at the line of scrimmage and dominate the Buffs by 17 points. Colorado will cover the 21 point spread.

This is a great game in the PAC 12. UCLA is on the rise and Chip Kelly has a team that is playing with physicality and excellent run game. Utah is struggling on offense and Cam Rising is still in question to return for games to come. Can the Utes pull it together for a critical conference matchup with the Bruins?

PREDICTION: I just think that Utah has been tested with games against Florida and Baylor and I need to see more out of UCLA’s offense on the road. I’m gonna take Utah to win by a field goal at home.

This is the game that will determine if Alabama’s run as an SEC favorite is over. Texas put a lot of questions into Nick Saban’s head two weeks ago and it didn’t seem like any of those questions were answered last week in Tampa. The Tide turn back to Jalen Milroe at QB and he’ll be facing off against Jackson Dart, who has been a one man show for the Rebels offense. Ole Miss has also been tested, so walking into Tuscaloosa shouldn’t be too hard for the Rebels right?

PREDICTION: UPSET OF THE WEEK: I have more confidence and answers with Ole Miss than Alabama. Jackson Dart will ball out and the rebels defense will get it done. Rebels get the upset.

Another good BIG 12 opener in Lawrence. BYU’s great run defense against a very balanced Kansas offense. Don’t sleep on the Jayhawks right now. I think they’re starting to catch a little fire and could become a sleeper team in the BIG 12. Can they get past the Cougars at home?

PREDICTION: BYU is great AGAINST the run, they can’t run the ball at all on offense. In this game, you go with the more consistent team. Give me the Jayhawks at home by a touchdown.

This feels like an early must win game for Texas Tech. Going 1-2 in a favorable nonconference schedule doesn’t exactly make experts believe in this team as BIG 12 contenders yet. Going into Morgantown is tough, but can the Mountaineers reset and get ready for this game after embarrassing Pitt in the Backyard Brawl last week?

PREDICTION: I think the Raiders will win the game, but something in my gut tells me the Mountaineers will cover. So I’ll take WVU and the points to keep it close, but Tech wins the game straight up.

Sleeper game of the week in the PAC 12. The Beavers are off to one of their best starts in franchise history while the Cougs have been playing ball on offense. Playing in Pullman is tough for any visiting team, but the Beavers bring in something that a lot of PAC 12 teams don’t have: defense and physicality. That’ll have to be key against Cam Ward and the high flying Wazzu offense.

PREDICTION: Washington State gives up almost 100 yards per game on the ground. I think that plays into Oregon State’s gameplan. I’m gonna ride with the Beavers on the road in a tight game because of their balance on offense. Beavers win by four.

You have to think this is a must win game for Dave Aranda, the head coach at Baylor, on Saturday night. The Bears went 1-2 in nonconference play with their lone win coming against LIU. Texas has looked like they’re officially back, and now it’s time to build off some great wins by continuing their winning ways the next few weeks before going to Dallas soon to face-off with Oklahoma

PREDICTION: I’m not sure what this Baylor team is right now but I know that they cannot stop the run. I think Texas’s defense will show up motivated and the Longhorns get it done. I’m taking Texas to win by 14 points

Drew Allar makes his BIG 10 debut for Penn State in front of the white-out crowd in Happy Valley on Saturday night. He’ll get a challenge from Iowa’s great defense and former Michigan Quarterback Cade McNamara coming to town in what should be a great game on Saturday night. Will the Hawks find a way to shut down the Lions offense?

PREDICTION: I think Iowa’s defense will play a magnificent game, but I don’t think they have enough offense in the passing game to get the win. I’m gonna pick Penn State to win the game, but Iowa will cover the 14.5 point spread

This is the game that most CFB experts have been talking about since the offseason. This is the game that will determine if Ohio State is back to form with a new QB, is Sam Hartman the right guy for the Irish who have been lacking a QB for the last couple years, and if this a potential CFP knockout game. This will be fun to watch.

PREDICTION: Man, this is tough. I just think because Notre Dame is at home and this is Kyle McCord’s first time on the road in a tough environment against a good defense, I’m gonna ride with the Irish at home in an upset because of Sam Hartman. Irish get the upset

NFL Week 2 Picks

September 14, 2023 ~ David ~ Leave a comment

This slate of college football is pretty bleak so I’m going straight into NFL predictions this week.

Last week I was 8-8 overall and 5-11 against the spread

If the Vikings looked good at home vs Tampa in Week 1, I would think the Vikings would have a chance against the Eagles. Now? I’m not sure because it’s primetime Kirk Cousins against a team that is only gonna get better on offense.

PREDICTION: I think the Eagles are winning by at least ten points. Jalen Hurts will take a bigger step and until Kirk Cousins beats a team on the road in primetime, I can’t pick the Vikings. Eagles win big

I thought both teams looked really good last week on different sides of the ball. Anthony Richardson played extremely well running the ball and the Texans defense came to play against Baltimore. Who takes a bigger step in the rebuild process in Houston on Sunday?

PREDICTION: I think Anthony Richardson will make one more big play than CJ Stroud so I will take the Colts in a low scoring game.

Really surprised that the Falcons are favored in this game. I think this one’s a toss up. Both teams can score and play good defense. This is the underrated game of the week.

PREDICTION: Tough call but I’m gonna go with the team that is more balanced on offense and that is the Packers. I think the Falcons will put up points but just not enough to stop Jordan Love. Packers get the win

The Bills have to be panicking a little bit. Everyone in the division looked good last week and they stunk on Monday night in New Jersey. The Raiders defense can pose problems for Josh Allen, especially up front. This should be closer than expected.

PREDICTION: Like I said, this’ll be closer than nine points but I’m taking Buffalo to win. I can’t see them losing their first home game and no Jimmy G might hurt the Raiders offense. Buffalo wins but Raiders cover

The Chiefs issues have been resolved with Travis Kelce being healthy and Chris Jones getting a contract extension. But this is a big test after their loss last Thursday. The Jaguars offense took a big step forward last week against Indy with Calvin Ridley having a big game and if they are going to show that they are contenders this year, they need to exact revenge on the team that beat them in the playoffs last year

PREDICTION: UPSET OF THE WEEK: I like the Jags to bounce back on defense after Indy exposed them last week. If they can hold down Travis Kelce and test the Chiefs receivers, they can hold them down and outscore them with Trevor Lawrence. Give me the Jags at home to win a shootout.

No asterisks whatsoever about that big win last week. The Lions showed that they are for real on both sides of the ball, and this feels like a revenge game. The Seahawks beating the Lions last season gave them the tiebreaker and allowed Seattle to make the playoffs. The energy in the stadium will be electric and the Lions will look to build off it in their first home game of the season.

PREDICTION: I see a shootout like last year, but I was disappointed in Seattle’s defense last week against a Rams offense still trying to get it in gear and I expect that to continue this week. I like the Lions to win by three points at home.

Not exactly what we were expecting from Justin Fields last week against the Packers, but what was more disappointing was the Bears defense. They need a bounce back game, but the Bucs are feeling really good about themselves and their QB Baker Mayfield. This should be a tight game.

PREDICTION: I need to see it from the Bears before I believe it. I like the Bucs at home in a low scoring game

This is a must win for both teams given what happened last week. Major concerns for the Chargers defense and the Titans offense after bad losses last week. I think it’s a more must win for the Chargers because of how hot the seat is for Brandon Staley. It may get more uncomfortable if he drops this one against a lowly Titans offense.

PREDICTION: Chargers will win this game but I don’t think this is going to be pretty. The defense needs to perform better and I need to see the offense be more balanced. I just can’t trust Tennessee’s offense until they get the ball downfield. Chargers win a close one but I do think they cover.

I think the Bengals will be fine. The weather was a big factor in their offense struggling last week. I still think they’re the favorite to win the division. Baltimore, however, might be a different story. A few injuries to the offense have me concerned, especially to their offensive line. Which team will pull it together for a big divisional matchup?

PREDICTION: Lamar Jackson is back and can make a difference, but the Bengals are desperate for a win. I think Cincinnati bounces back and beats Baltimore by three points in a close one.

That was as bad a loss as the Giants could have asked for on Sunday. It wasn’t as bad of a loss for the Cardinals in DC. Who turns the ship around a little bit in the desert on Sunday?

PREDICTION: I like the Giants to bounce back, but I don’t know if I’m going to lay the 5.5. I have some offensive line concerns and I need to see Daniel Jones pass more. I will take the Cardinals and the points, but the Giants will win this game

The Rams got the job done against a wounded Seahawks team on the road in a tough environment, but so did the 49ers in a more convincing way in a more hostile environment against a good team. But the 49ers have been a pain in the ass for the Rams the last few years. Big NFC West game in the late afternoon window as both teams look to keep the good vibes going.

PREDICTIONS: Rams will have revenge on their minds, but the 49ers defense and Brock Purdy will be the difference. The Niners are on a mission and last week really proved it. Niners win by a touchdown in LA

I can understand why Denver is favored. At home, desperation mode, can’t go to 0-2 at home in two winnable games, but look I think Washington is a talented football team. They may not have looked good last week, but they can still be good on offense once they unleash Sam Howell in the pass game. Should be a great game on Sunday.

PREDICTION: I am taking the Commanders in the upset. I just need to see Denver win a close one before I’m ready to cement them as a good team moving forward. I like Washington’s defense to play well and get it done in a low scoring game. Commanders win.

This is going to be a great game. Both teams bring in dynamic defenses and balanced offenses. I am a little intrigued by the line. Dallas is a big favorite, but it’s not like the offense was that impressive outside of not turning the ball over. And everyone is still down on the Jets without Aaron Rodgers, but I have faith in Zach Wilson because of the weapons they have. This will be a great football game.

PREDICTION: I think the Jets offensive line won’t be able to hold up for four quarters against the Dallas pass rush, but I do think the Jets defense will keep it close. Cowboys by seven points.

I’m so sick and tired of the moral victory narrative with the Patriots. At some point, the circle of insanity has to break for this team. Now I will say that the offense looked awesome against the Eagles and boy, the defense was amazing as usual. This just feels like a different animal with the Dolphins. Lots of speed, a good quarterback, and a good defense (although they gave up 30+ to the Chargers). Pats cannot go 0-2 on Sunday, but can they slow down the Dolphins?

PREDICTION: I think the Dolphins have too much speed on the offense and the Patriots may be starting all their backup offensive lineman with the starters on the injury report. Dolphins by 17 and maybe more.

Home opener for Bryce Young and a Panthers offense that looked really limited last week against the Falcons. The Panthers welcome a team that they have beaten twice in a row at home, but this feels like a different Saints team especially on defense. Another big divisional game sits in a primetime window on Monday night.

PREDICTION: If the Panthers had talent on the outside, I would pick them. Derek Carr and a balanced defense will get it done. Give me the Saints by six against Carolina

The Steelers got their butts kicked by the 49ers while the Browns looked great against the Bengals, although I do think the weather played a big factor in that one, and now we have the stage set for a crucial divisional matchup in Steel City. Can the Steelers bounce back from that débâcle a week ago?

PREDICTION: I hate going against Mike Tomlin in big games, but the Steelers are missing key players in key spots including Diontae Johnson. I think Cleveland’s defense keeps it going and they get it done on the road. Browns win

NFL Week 1 Picks

September 7, 2023September 8, 2023 ~ David ~ 1 Comment

It’s time. The first week of pro football has arrived. Let’s get to the picks segment.

This line was a lot bigger at the start of the season. Now Chris Jones is out, Travis Kelce is doubtful, major difference on both sides for the Chiefs. This is the perfect opportunity for Dan Campbell and the Lions to show what they are made of. I think they’re balanced, the defense got better, and they potentially pose problems to those other NFC teams. Can they win in Arrowhead to start the season?

PREDICTION: I was all over Kansas City before the Kelce injury, but now that he’s questionable I’m concerned about the Chiefs offense. But I can’t see them losing Week 1 at home at night with Patrick Mahomes. I think Kansas City wins, but the Lions will keep it close. Lions +5

The debut for Bryce Young and the newly coached Carolina Panthers in Atlanta. Frank Reich is going to have to sure up that offensive line, but I am not worried going against a depleted Falcons pass rush. Desmond Ridder is back for the Falcons and has a loaded backfield at his disposal. Which young quarterback can get it done?

PREDICTION: I was leaning Panthers all week but without their receivers I’m gonna change my pick and say Atlanta wins at home by ten points

Speaking of debuts, CJ Stroud and Will Anderson make their on-field debuts for the Texans behind new head coach Demeco Ryans. But this is probably not the draw they want to start the season, going into Baltimore to take on Lamar Jackson and the Ravens who are mostly healthy to start the year

PREDICTION: Injuries up front and in the secondary concern me for Baltimore, but that’s a down the road problem. I think Baltimore starts fast and hangs on to show they are one of the better teams in football. Ravens win and they cover

Joe Burrow is back in Cincinnati despite that ankle injury suffered in training camp. Big issue for Cleveland is their passing game with Deshaun Watson even with the fact that the Browns are good up front and can run the ball effectively. Joe Burrow has only beaten Cleveland once in the past three years, and the last time he went to Northeast Ohio, is was not good. Can he and the Bengals redeem themselves and start strong?

PREDICTION: The line is a little interesting, but I’m still picking the Bengals. I think the offensive line will show that they’re improved in that area and I expect big days for the receivers. Give me Cincy -2.5

Big opportunity for both teams to pick up a win against a quality opponent. Nick Bosa finally got resigned so everyone’s happy in Santa Clara, but Mike Tomlin is going to have his guys fired up for this one. The Steelers are a sleeper team in the NFL because of their coach and defense, so it’s time for Kenny Pickett to take this offense to the next level. Can he do it against a stout 49ers defense?

PREDICTION: UPSET OF THE WEEK: I’m gonna pick the Steelers because they’re at home. I just think the Steelers defense getting pressure on Brock Purdy in his first true road regular season start will be the difference in the game. Give me Pittsburgh in an upset

Tale of two vibes with these two teams. The Cardinals look like they’re tanking and everyone’s down on them, while a new ownership in DC has Commanders fans finally happy. Not the best matchup, but we get to see if the Commanders will put on a show this season.

PREDICTION: LOCK OF THE WEEK: Too much Sam Howell and the Commanders front is healthy, plus the Cardinals defensive line can’t do anything against that offensive line. I think Washington wins by two scores

This is a good opportunity to see if the Vikings got better defensively. They had one of the worst scoring differentials in the league last year and still made the playoffs. This is also a good opportunity for Baker Mayfield to show he’s still got it and can lead the Bucs moving forward. Underrated game in my opinion.

PREDICTION: I think the Vikings are going to win, but I think Tampa’s offensive playmakers and defense will shine in this game. I think the Bucs cover the six point spread in a close, low scoring game

The Jags haven’t won at Indianapolis in six years, but this time they may have a chance to do it. This is the most complete team in the AFC with a loaded offense and talented defense. If the Colts are going to hang around, Anthony Richardson is going to have make lots of plays with his arm and get the ball downfield. Should still be a great game.

PREDICTION: I wouldn’t be surprised if the Jags blow the Colts out, but just to be safe. I’m going to pick Jacksonville to win by a touchdown just because it’s a divisional game. Colts will make plays but just not enough to get it done on defense. Jags win by a touchdown.

Excellent game to wrap up the 1pm window. Both teams bring in good defenses with defensive minded head coaches, so this game will come down to the offense. Who’s got enough playmakers to get it done in the Dome to get through the other team’s defense?

PREDICTION: I’m tempted to pick Tennessee because Derrick Henry has the potential to go nuts, but I’m gonna go with the veteran team and say the Saints get it done at home. Saints by a touchdown

That line pretty much indicates how this game is gonna go. Packers vs Bears in Chicago means defense and big plays on offense. Only thing missing here is the cold weather and we’d have ourselves an electric football game.

PREDICTION: If not now, when for the Bears? It seems like they have a lot of good vibes, I think Justin Fields will shine in this game, and I expect the Bears defense to step up. I’m going with the Chicago Bears to win this one because of Justin Fields. Close game, but the Bears win

Fun times in Seattle. The Seahawks had a great draft and experts believe they are going to take the next step with Geno Smith. It feels like another regression year with the Rams especially with Cooper Kupp out this week and potentially longer.

PREDICTION: I think the Rams are depleted in the secondary and at receiver and I don’t think the offensive line has gotten better. I think Seattle wins by two scores at home

Is this the year for the Broncos to right the ship? Lots of guys who were injured last year are coming back including starting running back Javonte Williams. This feels like a regression year for Las Vegas especially with the loss of Derek Carr and some receivers on the outside. Regardless, the winner of this game will start the season with control of the division

PREDICTION: The Raiders have no depth on defense, especially in the secondary. I do think the Broncos win and they cover the spread. Broncos win by two scores over Vegas

Rematch from last year’s game when everything fell off the rails for the Dolphins. The Chargers have everyone back on defense and now have some alphas on the outside. Justin Herbert now working with former Cowboys offensive coordinator Kellen Moore should be a good fit, but Brandon Staley is definitely on the hot seat. The Dolphins do have weapons on offense, but offensive line injuries and troubles on the back end of their defense could be a trouble spot for them against these taller, more athletic Charger receivers. Which QB will get it done, Herbert or Tua?

PREDICTION: I’m gonna go with the Chargers mainly because I just worry about the Dolphins offensive line against Mack and Bosa, and I think the Chargers receivers make more plays than the Dolphin receivers. Chargers win by six.

This has to be the year that the Patriots get it together. New offensive coordinator, much better receivers, and a more talented secondary. The Patriots are good at taking away what the other team does best, but the Eagles are a lot to handle. Jalen Hurts and a Georgia Bulldogs defense make things hard enough, but can they forget about last year and move forward to this year where the stars are aligning (according to most experts) for them to make it back to the Super Bowl

PREDICTION: I do think the Patriots will be better on offense this year and I do think they’re going to score on the Eagles, but too much Jalen Hurts. I like the Eagles to win by three points in a close game

The old rivalry is renewed between two teams that went to the playoffs last year. Expectations are always high in Dallas, but they are much higher in the Meadowlands. The Giants did get better on offense and added a lot of receivers to help Daniel Jones become a passer, so the offense is no longer one dimensional. But the offensive line has a challenge against that physical Dallas defense. Eyes are on Dak Prescott without Kellen Moore and Zeke Elliott, so it’s now up to Tony Pollard to carry the load. Who survives this slugfest in the Meadowlands on Sunday night

PREDICTION: This is a must win for the Giants given the schedule they have coming up with tons of road games. They will come out swinging and inspired and they will make this a great game. With that being said, too much Micah Parsons will give Dallas the edge. I like the Cowboys by three points in New Jersey

With Aaron Rodgers and some of his friends coming to help the Jets offense in the offseason and the Jets having an already loaded defense, this feels like their year. It’s been Buffalo’s year for the past three years, but they have yet to finish in the postseason. If not now, when for the Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen. With a team already starting to age and not much time left, this has got to be a make it or break it season. Both teams ready for a big showdown on Monday night

PREDICTION: This is a tough one, but I’m going to pick the Jets because I think they have more athletes on defense and I just don’t believe in the talent around Josh Allen this year as I’ve done in years past. He can’t do it all himself. I still think Buffalo will win the division when all is said and done, but they lose on Monday night. Jets pull the upset

College Football Week 2 Predictions

September 6, 2023 ~ David ~ Leave a comment

How bout those Buffs, huh?

Was really surprised to see Colorado look that stout on offense and Clemson look the exact opposite after all the expectations. We now transition to Week 2 in the season which gives us an exciting Top 12 matchup in Tuscaloosa.

Last Week I went 9-3 in both picks and against the spread. So off to a .750 start after Week 1

Good matchup to kick off Week 2 when you look at the style of play between these two teams. Kansas is a team that loves to throw it around and has speed on offense while Illinois is tough in the trenches and plays physical. Should be a great game on Friday night.

PREDICTION: My concern with Illinois is their run game outside of their quarterback. Luke Altmeier had over 90 yards rushing last week which was a team high. Can he replicate that process? I don’t think so. I like Kansas by a touchdown at home.

The Buffaloes have a hard act to follow after last week’s thrilling victory. They may be the new flavor of the month, but I think this game will test their maturity. Even though the Huskers are 0-1 after a discouraging loss to Minnesota, they play really great run defense. Should be closer than the experts think.

PREDICTION: I really want to pick Nebraska for the upset trap, but they do something every game that costs them. I just think the Buffs will get it done at home in a close, low scoring game. Buffs win by three.

This will be the first true test for the Irish after two easy wins. On the road against a stingy Wolfpack defense that will certainly challenge Sam Hartman. Can NC State run the ball with their running backs to take the load off Brennan Armstrong? Will the Irish pass their first road test?

PREDICTION: I’m just concerned that NC State won’t be able to run the ball against Notre Dame and become one-dimensional on offense. I like the Irish to win by ten points against NC State.

Both teams started 1-0, but Iowa looked a little problematic on offense after the first half. I was impressed with the Clones offense despite all the gambling talk that happened in the offseason, but can they keep the trophy for a second straight year against the team that has won five straight games in Ames?

PREDICTION: I think Cade McNamara will be 100% which will give Iowa’s offense a shot in the arm. Two good defenses, but I’m gonna go with the veteran QB and give Iowa the three point victory in a close game.

This is going to be a great rematch from last year’s game. Both teams have some newfound confidence after wins last week, but it’s good to see Miami play with an edge like they did last week at home. They will be motivated to beat the Aggies after almost knocking them off at Kyle Field last year, so can the Aggies match that intensity on South Beach on Saturday?

PREDICTION: UPSET OF THE WEEK: I just think Miami, at home with much improved talent on both sides of the ball, will get it done. The Aggies are still struggling to run the ball, I think the Canes are more balanced, so I’ll take the Hurricanes for the upset

Excellent game between two team with very similar game plans. Both teams love to run the ball and play stout defense up front to stop it. I was impressed with both quarterbacks last week as they combined for six incompletions! Should be a great game in the Bayou as Tulane will look to make a big statement.

PREDICTION: Man, I really want to pick Tulane because of their defense but I just think Ole Miss is more talented on offense and they have more weapons in the pass game. Ole Miss gets it done, but Tulane covers. I think it’s a field goal win for the Rebels.

Great game on Saturday night even though UCF is no longer a Group of 5 team. UCF has continued to keep up their explosive offense with John Rhys Plumlee and Gus Malzahn heading the offense. The Broncos looked good for a half in Seattle before the defense fell off the rails. Can they bounce back in their home opener against the Knights?

PREDICTION: I just think UCF has too much offense and I just didn’t like the Broncos red zone offense last week in Seattle. I think the Knights win by ten points in a close game.

This is going to be a great game. I really liked what I saw out of Bama’s offense with Jalen Milroe but again, they didn’t run the ball much with their backs. You can get away with it against a team like Middle Tennessee, but I’m not sure you can get away with it against Texas. Speaking of, Texas didn’t look great on offense against Rice with their running game, but I liked what I saw from their defense. Can Quinn Ewers be efficient in the pocket against Bama like he was in last year’s game will be the question, especially with the Tide potentially down half of their starting secondary.

PREDICTION: I picked Texas to go to the playoff, but I cannot see them winning this game. In Tuscaloosa, at night, against Nick Saban, I just can’t see it. But I do think the Tide win by only three or four points. This has shootout potential, but Alabama wins.

That was a big blowout from Oregon last week and a big yikes from Texas Tech. I can’t help but wonder if the Red Raiders were peeking ahead to Oregon last week when they built a 17-0 lead, so I think they’ll be much better mentally, but Oregon’s offense looked real good last week (yes it was Portland State) putting up a school record 81 points. Not sure they’re gonna score that much this week, but they can score enough to make this one a shootout.

PREDICTION: I think Oregon will win this game but their defense scares me. I think we’re in for another 50 point shootout on both sides, but I’m picking Oregon because their more balanced. Ducks win by three.

I would be more interested in this matchup if Washington State had a better offense. Wisconsin looked balanced with Luke Fickell now as their head coach and they still have their mentality of run the ball and play physical on both sides of the ball. Can the Cougs figure out their offense and get it done at home?

PREDICTION: Cam Ward can be a difference maker in the passing game for Wazzu, but I’m taking the Badgers because of their balance and defense. Badgers win and they cover

I mean, this has to be for the line right? USC looks legit, playing much better on defense, and I thought Stanford looked good (against Colgate) especially defensively. This will still be a good game just because of the rivalry and we could see how good Stanford truly is.

PREDICTION: I think USC wins by 30. Too much offense and Caleb Williams is too good. I think Stanford keeps it close for a half before the Trojans pull away

This is a fascinating matchup. The Tigers and Golden Bears both looked really good last week against Group of 5 teams, putting up over 50 points on both opponents. Now we get to see who is going to be better moving forward in what should be a great PAC 12 after dark matchup

PREDICTION: I think this will be a great game. I just think Payton Thorne breathed new life into this Auburn offense so that’s why I’m gonna take Auburn in a close game. Cal covers

2023 NFL Preview: NFC and Award Winners/Super Bowl

September 1, 2023September 1, 2023 ~ David ~ Leave a comment

We saw the AFC side of the ball, now let’s preview the NFC!

NFC EAST: The run it back tour begins in Philadelphia

Make no mistake, the Eagles will be on a mission this year. After losing the Super Bowl in Arizona to the Chiefs in wild fashion, Jalen Hurts and the Eagles reloaded defense will get back to work. This’ll still be a tough division because you still have the Cowboys with Dak Prescott and a great defense, you still have the Giants with Brian Daboll commanding the offense and Daniel Jones and Saquon, and you also have the Commanders with Sam Howell and a better offense and stacked defense. Should be a great division to watch this year and I think much more competitive

NFC East Division Prediction:

Philadelphia (No way the Eagles lose the division, but the defense needs to grow up fast)
Dallas (WC. Cowboys will be right there. Wouldn’t be surprised if both teams have equal records)
Washington (I’m on the Sam Howell hype and I think Washington’s defense will be back to form)
NY Giants (The schedule is brutal for the Giants. I think they go above .500, but they miss playoffs)

NFC NORTH: Is this really the Lions division?

We’re now living in a world where the Detroit Lions are potential contenders. Detroit gets the first crack at the Chiefs and even if the Lions don’t win but keep it close in KC, then the hype is real. I’d also keep an eye on the Bears. Justin Fields is going to have a breakout year with new weapons and I think the defense bounces back. I still think the Packers will be right there after a great preseason from Jordan Love, but I’m not feeling it with Minnesota and their new defense after what happened last year. This’ll still be a great division

NFC North Division Prediction:

Detroit (I think the Lions are truly the most complete team in the division)
Chicago (WC. Fields has a spectacular season and the defense takes a step up)
Green Bay (I need to see the Packers defense take a step in the right direction. Love will be good)
Minnesota (The Kirk Cousins era ends and the defense still has some holes at up front)

NFC SOUTH: The worst division in football returns

Who will win this gross division this year? The Saints are the favorite to win the division because of their veteran leadership on both sides of the ball. I expect Derek Carr to have a good year with the weapons he has, but I’m concerned about the Saints offensive line. Can the Panthers clear the hurdle with Bryce Young and a talented defensive core? Can the Falcons find a rhythm on defense without a lot of playmakers? The Bucs are going to rebuild this year, but I think this could also be a prove it year for Baker Mayfield to show that he still has it.

NFC South Division Prediction:

Carolina (Went back and forth, but I think Carolina matures quickly and wins the division)
New Orleans (I don’t like the Saints offensive line and I need to see Carr step up quickly)
Atlanta (Lots to like about the Falcons offense, but lack of talent on defense is not enough to win)
Tampa Bay (Back to square one for the Bucs. Defense and offense just won’t be the same)

NFC WEST: It’s Purdy in Santa Clara this time of year

Mr. Irrelevant 2022 just became Week 1 starter in 2023. Brock Purdy is now going to have to take the 49ers to the promised land, but he’s not the most important part of the offense when the Niners have guys like Deebo, CMC, Kittle, and that awesome defense. Seattle will challenge them. Geno has a great receiving core and Seattle got better on defense, especially on the back end. As for the Rams and Cardinals, I don’t see how they’ll compete this year. The Rams are still dealing with the fallout of the 2021 Super Bowl and the Cardinals have pressed the tank button. Should be a straightforward division this year

NFC West Division Prediction:

San Francisco (If everyone stays healthy, no one beats this team)
Seattle (WC. Big year for Geno, the receivers go off, and the Hawks defense bounces back)
LA Rams (Offensive line is still a problem, secondary issues, receiver depth. Down year for LA)
Arizona (T. A. N. K.)

NFC Playoff Format

San Francisco
Philadelphia
Detroit
Carolina
Dallas
Seattle
Chicago

NFC Divisional Games: San Francisco vs Seattle, Philadelphia vs Dallas

NFC Championship: San Francisco vs Philadelphia

NFC WINNER: The 49ers will exact their revenge on the Eagles and go back to the Super Bowl

Alright, here are my award winners before the Super Bowl Champion!

Offensive Rookie of the Year: Bryce Young (Carolina)

Defensive Rookie of the Year: Jalen Carter (Philadelphia)

Offensive Player of the Year: Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia)

Defensive Player of the Year: TJ Watt (Pittsburgh)

Comeback Player of the Year: Damar Hamlin (Buffalo)

Coach of the Year: Mike Tomlin (Pittsburgh)

Most Valuable Player: Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville)

SUPER BOWL CHAMPION: I think it’s San Francisco’s year. They beat Jacksonville in a close game.

2023 NFL Season Preview: AFC

September 1, 2023 ~ David ~ Leave a comment

The only thing I hope we get out of this season is that the refs don’t make it about themselves in the Super Bowl.

I’m not joking. I’m still bitter that that call decided what was a terrific game even if James Bradberry said it was the right call.

But anyway, 2022 is over and we are on to 2023. Lots of questions surrounding lots of different teams in both conferences, but we are in for what should be another fantastic season.

In this post, I will give my division breakdowns and winners then give my playoff predictions in the AFC. Let’s get to it

AFC EAST: Will the Bills do it again in a much tougher division?

Buffalo has been the at the top of the AFC East for the past three seasons, but have never been able to finish with three straight postseason exits. Josh Allen is still there, his weapons are still there, most of the defense is still there, but are the Bills going to run the football with someone other than Josh Allen? This is probably the second toughest division in football when you have the Jets and their defense, oh and they just got Aaron Rodgers and some of his friends on offense, and Miami even though I’m not so sure about Tua and his health consistency. Don’t sleep on the Pats either. Mac Jones working with his former Alabama OC Bill O’Brien, more weapons on the outside plus a great backfield, and still one of the best defenses in the NFL under Bill Belichick. I really believe that if Mac can be consistent, the Patriots can make a run at the division title.

AFC East Division Prediction

Buffalo (Josh Allen, enough said)
New England (WC. Defense and I believe in Mac Jones thriving this year)
Miami (Offensive line issues and I’m not sure if Tua will be 100% all season)
NY Jets (Aging quarterback, higher expectations, it’s just a tough road for the Jets)

AFC NORTH: It’s a dogfight to the end in this division

This is the toughest division in the AFC because of how physical all these teams are. The Bengals have been the champs the last two years, but this division is getting better. The Steelers now have an offensive line and Kenny Pickett is due for a breakout year in year two under Mike Tomlin along with a fabulous defense, Baltimore will still be up there as long as they have Lamar Jackson and a good defense, and I still think the Browns are a tough team up front on both sides of the ball. Which team will put up the most points to help their defense come out on top in this scrappy, physical division?

AFC North Division Prediction

Pittsburgh (I really believe in Mike Tomlin this year. Steelers get back to form and win the division)
Cincinnati (WC. Joe Burrow will ball out again, but can the defense and o-line be consistent?)
Baltimore (I need to see Lamar get back to 2018 form before I believe in the Ravens)
Cleveland (Browns receiver depth isn’t great and corners can be attacked on the outside)

AFC SOUTH: Division of young quarterbacks

This will be the most interesting division moving forward because I think all these teams are young and talented. The big question is if Jacksonville can follow up a tremendous second half last year and be consistent enough to go all out and win this year. Houston and Indy are breaking in new QBs, but the Jonathan Taylor issue clouds the Colts. I think Tennessee will still be good defensively, but they have a QB situation that needs to be addressed and their receivers are not that good (yes, they have DHop but not a lot outside of him). Should be a fascinating division.

AFC South Division Prediction

Jacksonville (This is the year that the Jags take the next step. They’re gonna have a great season)
Houston (The Texans have building blocks and good coaching. They’ll surprise people)
Tennessee (Lack of playmakers outside Derrick Henry concerns me and who starts at QB?)
Indianapolis (JT situation, not a ton of talent on defense, just a lot on Anthony Richardson)

AFC WEST: Who can stop the Chiefs?

That is the 500 million dollar question. The Chiefs have been to three Super Bowls in the past four years and have won two of them because of Patrick Mahomes. My big concern with the Chiefs is the Chris Jones holdout. Arguably the best pass rusher in the conference and he will be out the first four games and maybe more depending on how the situation unfolds. The Chargers reloaded on both sides of the ball, the Broncos have a new head coach and now year two with Russell Wilson, and the Raiders have some bright spots especially on defense. But who’s going to challenge (and maybe, beat) the Chiefs?

AFC West Division Prediction:

Kansas City (Mahomes is too good to not lose the division, but the Chiefs defense is a concern)
LA Chargers (WC. Herbert with a new OC, loaded defense, but they have to deliver this year)
Denver (Linebacker depth, running back depth, offensive line, all are concerning)
Las Vegas (Jimmy G is good, o-line and cornerbacks are a problem. Not their year)

AFC Playoff Standings

Kansas City
Jacksonville
Pittsburgh
Buffalo
LA Chargers
New England
Cincinnati

AFC Divisional Games: Kansas City vs LA Chargers, Jacksonville vs Pittsburgh

AFC Championship: Kansas City vs Jacksonville

WINNER: I’m going out on a limb and saying that Jacksonville beats Kansas City at Arrowhead to go to the Super Bowl. Trevor Lawrence balls out and gets it done.

College Football Week 1 Predictions

August 30, 2023 ~ David ~ Leave a comment

Week 0 brought us some Notre Dame hype, a rough performance out of the USC defense, and… UMass winning a football game?

It must be the apocalypse because UMass is only ever good at hockey. But anyway, we’re ready for Week 1 with 12 great games spanning from Thursday to Monday! For those who don’t know how this goes, here’s a quick rundown: graphics, quick preview, and prediction with my thoughts on the point spread (don’t worry, I DO NOT gamble).

This is a similar Utah team that went to Gainesville in Week 1 last year and lost a heartbreaker to the Gators. While Utah and Florida’s seasons went in opposite directions with Utah winning the PAC 12 and the Gators getting crushed in their bowl game, this may be a great opportunity for the Utes to exact revenge on the Gators for last season. Graham Mertz assumes the quarterback position for a shorthanded Gators roster while Cam Rising is an underrated threat to win the Heisman if he stays healthy. Great way to kick off Week 1

PREDICTION: The Utes are at home and that was the difference last year. Cam Rising should have a great game, Utah’s defense will bully the Florida offense with their physicality, and I’m not sure a new school will help Mertz’s turnover issues. So I like Utah to cover the seven point spread.

Interesting battle in the BIG 10 West to start the season with Nebraska and Minnesota. The Gophers have one of the best running backs in the nation in Mohammed Ibrahim, who is a front runner for the Doak Walker, while the Cornhuskers bring in a new coach in Matt Rhule and are going to Jeff Sims at quarterback. Whoever wins gets first place in the BIG 10 West all to themselves… at least for a week or so

PREDICTION: Lots of turnover at Nebraska so I’m not sure how they’ll be Week 1, but I like them to keep it close. I just think Minnesota is too good up front on offense, but will have some problems in the pass game. Low scoring game, and I’m taking Minnesota to win by three at home

The Joe Milton era begins in Knoxville with the departure of Hendon Hooker. Milton had a solid season last year as the backup, but also destroyed Clemson in the Orange Bowl last year. Virginia still in rebuild mode, but has a solid defense that can challenge Milton and a new look Tennessee offense.

PREDICTION: I think the Vols are going to win and cover, but I still think UVA’s defense will keep it close for a half/three quarters. Milton is too much and the athletes around him are too much. Vols win

A new era begins for both programs. TCU, after a wild season that saw them come up short in the BIG 12 and National Championship, heads into a year without their top QB, RB, and WR. Meanwhile, a lot of talk about Colorado and Deion Sanders but there’s not a lot of talent on defense to carry this team. But a win in Week 1 against a new TCU crew could give Colorado some confidence moving forward

PREDICTION: This has shootout potential. How will TCU handle what happened last year and the changes on offense? I think the Horned Frogs will win, but I like the Buffs +20.5 cause of Deion’s son at QB and we just don’t know a lot about this new TCU team.

This is a make it or break it season for Jeff Hafley at Boston College. The Eagles had one of their worst seasons last year at 3-9 and now are starting over at most positions on the roster. Good news? QB Emmett Morehead is back, Pat Garwo is healthy, and the Eagles should be a good team up front on both sides of the ball. This’ll be tough one with an NIU team that always hangs around in season openers.

PREDICTION: I like BC but NIU +8.5. The Huskies can make things interesting on defense and shut down the pass and we don’t know much about BC’s defense. BC wins by a field goal in a close game

The big question surrounding this game is who will the Buckeyes turn to at Quarterback. Kyle McCord’s name has been buzzed around after a great training camp. But it won’t matter because the Buckeyes return Marvin Harrison Jr., Emika Ebuka, and Trayveon Henderson on offense. Indiana’s defense is gonna have a tough day

PREDICTION: The Hoosiers keep it close for a while, but I think Ohio State has too many playmakers outside the QB for them to keep up with. I think the Buckeyes win by four touchdowns AT LEAST.

The Huskies return a dynamic quarterback in Michael Penix Jr. and a pretty stacked offense, but injuries on the offensive line after training camp are cause for concern. Boise State comes in with former Oregon offensive coordinator Andy Avalos at the helm, so they have potential to challenge the Huskies, but can they go to Seattle and pick up a big win over a PAC 12 favorite?

PREDICTION: This should be a good game. Washington’s offensive line is a concern but I think their defense will win them this game. Huskies win, but I like the Broncos to cover. 14 points is a lot of points

Excellent game to wrap up Saturday in College Football. Two teams that had great finishes to last season, but both came up short in their bowl games. Both teams return superstar quarterbacks and loaded offenses, so which defense will come ready to play in Charlotte on Saturday night?

PREDICTION: In a game like this, I always go with the team that can play defense. And that’s why I’m taking South Carolina. If Spencer Rattler doesn’t turn the ball over, the Gamecocks defense will get one stop on Drake Maye and win it. Cocky pulls off the upset.

With all the talk about Ohio State and Michigan being the best team in the BIG 10 East, no one’s talking about Penn State. Drew Allar is now behind center and has drawn a lot of hype and the Penn State defense will be loaded as well. In what seems to be the end of the line for Neal Brown at WVU, he’ll need to make this game somewhat competitive to keep the Mountaineers morale high moving forward

PREDICTION: I think Penn State’s going to run the ball down WVU’s throat and get after the QB on defense. I can’t see them losing at night at home. Lions win by 24 points

Much like Penn State, Oregon State is flying under the radar in the PAC 12. DJ Uiagalelei is now running Jonathan Smith’s offense, but he’s a perfect fit in the system. But the Beavers are playing a Spartan team that played well at USC last week to open up the season. They’re gonna have to work out the kinks quickly if they are to knock off the Spartans on the road.

PREDICTION: I still think the Beavers roll and cover the -16.5 spread. Defense is much better than USC’s when it comes to shutting down the run. I like Oregon State to win by 20.

This was a nail-biting game last year and it has even bigger hype surrounding it this year. LSU and Florida State both ended last season on high notes by winning their bowl games and they get set to face each other once again to start the season. Lots of hype surrounding Jordan Travis and the Seminoles heading into what could be a special season and the expectations are a lot higher for LSU after a great season in 2022. But it’s 2023, so who will take a big step forward to start their years in Orlando on Sunday night?

PREDICTION: UPSET OF THE WEEK: I am buying the Florida State hype and I think the Noles defense will get it done against LSU. Big thing about LSU is their strength up front on both sides of the ball, especially on defense. I just think the Noles run game and defense prevail and they win a close one against LSU. Give me Florida State.

Garrett Riley becomes the new offensive coordinator for Clemson and Cade Klubnik, who could have a special season in Death Valley. But this won’t be an easy game for the Tigers out of the gate when they head to Durham. Duke finished last season winning four of their last five including a bowl victory over UCF. Duke is a sleeper team in the ACC and has a lot of returning starters on offense. Can they do enough defensively to outscore Clemson?

PREDICTION: I think Clemson will win the game, but I don’t think they cover. I want to see how the passing game will be for Klubnik and Riley and how that meshes together. But even so, Will Shipley will get it done on the ground. Clemson wins, but Duke covers

2023 College Football Season Preview

August 26, 2023August 27, 2023 ~ David ~ Leave a comment

Wow. It has been a while since I’ve been back here.

Last time I was writing on my site was in January. A lot has happened since, which I’ll talk about in a little bit on this site as well.

But College Football season is finally upon us. And it’s time to preview and predict who will come out on top in each conference and who will make it to the College Football Playoff.

But first, some Week 0 picks.

I like Navy +21 vs Notre Dame. I think the Irish will be a little slow out of the gate with Sam Hartman and treat this like a practice game, but I also think Navy’s triple option attack and defensive style will stymie the Irish for about a half. Should be a great game

I also like SJSU to cover +31 vs USC. The Trojans will win a shootout, but until I see USC’s defense improve and get stops on 3rd or 4th Down I can’t pick them to cover a big spread.

Alright, let’s get into the conferences.

ACC: Is it the year of the Noles, or is Clemson still Clemson?

There is a lot of hype coming into the season about Florida State. Jordan Travis is a Heisman candidate, Mike Norvell is turning this team into a national contender, the defense is healthy. I’m buying it, but I also think we’re overlooking Clemson a bit. The Tigers were national contenders until they lost two tough games to Notre Dame and South Carolina. FSU @ Clemson in Week 4 will be a great game, but FSU already starts out with LSU in Orlando which could determine which team could be in the driver’s seat to make the playoff. Clemson’s road schedule is brutal too. After Florida State, the Tigers play three out of their next four on the road at Syracuse, at Miami, and at NC State with a home test vs Wake. Not an easy stretch.

Meanwhile, even though the ACC Coastal doesn’t exist anymore, none of those teams have won a conference title in 13 years. UNC returns a lot of talent from last year, but a defense that struggled big time. Miami was a disaster last season, but adding a lot of transfers in the portal might give them the edge this season. Will Pitt have a big turnaround after what happened last season? This is the most unpredictable division in all of College Football and it looks like it will stay that way, but which team will come out on top?

Surprise Team: Louisville. The Cardinals added Coach Jeff Brohm and Quarterback Jack Plummer from Purdue. If Plummer stays healthy under his old head coach, Louisville could be a tough out in the ACC.

Disappointing Team: Syracuse. The Orange started 6-0 before dropping six of seven, including their bowl game last year. Won’t be half the roster it was last year, so I don’t expect the Cuse to be good at all

Boston College Outlook: Gotta bring my Eagles in here for a second. BC avoids Clemson, plays FSU and Miami at home, and I’d argue their hardest game of the year will be at Louisville after the FSU game. The schedule is setup for BC to succeed, but if they struggle again I can’t see head coach Jeff Hafley keeping the job.

ACC Championship: I think Clemson will win the regular season game because it’s at home, but they will lose to FSU in the ACC Championship. The key is FSU staying healthy on defense. If they do, I think they’re going to win the ACC

BIG 10: Will Michigan 3-peat?

The Wolverines have never won the BIG 10 Championship three straight times in program history, but they have the best chance to do it this year. Playing Ohio State at home will be, obviously, the big test. Ohio State has a lot of talent coming back, but questions at Quarterback for the first time in a while will test them. Same with Penn State, who gets Michigan at home this season. The Jim Harbaugh suspension might rattle Michigan a little bit, but their nonconference schedule is soft enough that they should breeze through before he comes back

Out West, I expect Iowa and Wisconsin to battle it out for that division. The Hawkeyes added Cade McNamara and Erick All from Michigan to help out the offense and having most starters from last year on defense will keep the Hawks in contention. There’s been a lot of hype around Wisconsin with Luke Fickell taking over the coaching duties and Tanner Mordecai at QB, but I feel like this is a rebuild year for the Badgers just because we don’t know much about the pieces around the quarterback.

Surprise Team: Maryland. Taulia Tagovailoa is due for a breakout season and the Terps have a lot returning from a high powered offense from last season. I don’t expect them to beat OSU or Michigan, but they could be an eight, nine win, maybe ten win team regardless and that would be great for them

Disappointing Team: Nebraska. Just because Matt Rhule is there, doesn’t mean they’re ready yet. They could be in some upset spots, but I think they miss the postseason

BIG 10 Championship: Michigan will beat Iowa in a low scoring game. The Hawks defense and McNamara will keep it close but they don’t have enough offense to beat Big Blue

BIG 12: Is this the year Texas is ACTUALLY back?

Texas has been the talk of the BIG 12 for months. Quinn Ewers is fully healthy now and is prime for a fantastic season. My concern with Texas is how they will replace Bijan Robinson, a powerful back who went to the draft in the offseason. But you still have a talented receiver in Xavier Worthy, you have a good defense, and an offensive minded head coach in Steve Sarkisian. I’m excited to watch Texas play at Alabama in Week 2 to see how good this team really is.

Who will challenge Texas? TCU, who lost a lot of offensive superstars to the NFL? Oklahoma, who is still defensively challenged? Kansas State, who will be without Deuce Vaughn and a lot of wide receivers? I think Texas Tech and Oklahoma State will be their biggest challengers with transfers at quarterback. I would also not be shocked to see Kansas, who returns a lot of offensive starters from last season including Jaylon Daniels, in the mix.

Surprise Team: Kansas. Seriously, they were so beat up at the end of the year. I think Lance Leipold and the Jayhawks have a big year. They get OU and K-State at home and their one road challenge is at Texas. Eight or nine wins is definitely on the table

Disappointing Team: West Virginia. Usually, the Mountaineers have the team to surprise a lot of people. Not this year, and I think we’re going to see major changes to the coaching staff after this year

BIG 12 Championship: I think we’re going to see Texas and Texas Tech in the BIG 12 Championship and I think Texas will win it. Quinn Ewers will get it done in a high scoring game

PAC 12: Superstar quarterbacks highlight what’ll be a great season out West

Talk about a star-studded lineup. Caleb Williams, Cam Rising, Bo Nix, Michael Penix Jr., DJ Uiagalelei, Cam Ward, etc. The PAC 12 is loaded with game-changing QBs that it could be anyone’s conference to win. A lot of attention will be on Williams though as he will be looking to become the first two time Heisman trophy winner since Archie Griffin. I’m interested to see how Washington and Oregon will do in their second years with their transfer QBs and Utah is always a tough out, but there’s a lot of younger talent on their defense.

Will anyone step up out of the bottom six? ASU and Arizona are good, but not great, teams. Lots of hype around Colorado, but I don’t expect them to be firing on all cylinders out of the gate. Cal could be looking at another tough year, and I think it’ll be a struggling year for UCLA with such a brutal schedule. Gonna be a fun season in the final year of the PAC 12

Surprising Team: Oregon State. Do NOT sleep on the Beavers. They get Utah, UCLA, and Washington at home, avoid USC, and their last regular season game is at Oregon. With this favorable schedule and this ground and pound style on both sides of the ball, I think OSU has a legit shot at making the PAC 12 title

Disappointing Team: Colorado. Like I said, I don’t expect the Buffs to come out swinging right away. Deion has an offense, but the Buffs defense needs another year or two for them to contend

PAC 12 Championship: I wanna pick the Beavers, but I think USC has too much offense. I like USC to beat Utah in a revenge game in the PAC 12 Championship

SEC: Georgia goes for Natty 3-peat

Lots of off the field incidents and and players leaving to the NFL overshadow what could be another excellent season in Athens. The last time a program three-peated, was the 1934-1936 Minnesota program. The Bulldogs will have to replace a lot at quarterback, receiver, and up front on both sides of the ball, but I still expect them to contend for the SEC. I think their road game at Tennessee will be their toughest test of the year and whoever wins that could be heading to Atlanta.

Alabama will be in the mix, but how will they be able to step up after what happened last year? Two really disappointing losses on the road and now you have to replace at quarterback and defense. Will LSU follow up a great year under second year coach Brian Kelly? We’ll see how they do when they face-off with FSU in Orlando in Week 1. I also expect Texas A&M to be better this year. They beat LSU to end a disappointing season and they have some experience on offense and defense. The SEC will still be a fun conference to watch.

Surprising Team: Kentucky. Mark Stoops is a great coach and he brought in Devin Leary from NC State. This team is physical and gets Tennessee and Alabama at home. They can contend this year

Disappointing Team: Florida. Lots of questions in Gainesville about the quarterback and I’m concerned with the Gators defense. Gonna be a tough year in the Swamp

SEC Championship: I think Georgia will beat Alabama in the SEC title in a close game.

Heisman Trophy Winner: Jordan Travis (FSU). I love Caleb Williams, but this is going to be a special year in Tallahassee and I think Travis will be the key and have a big season

Group of 5 Team: Tulane. Lots of returners on offense including Michael Pratt and Tahjay Spears and a wide open American Conference. After a great year last year, look for Willie Fritz’s team to repeat

College Football Playoff:

Georgia
Michigan
Texas
Florida State

National Championship: Texas over Georgia. Quinn Ewers gets it done

NFL Divisional Round Matchups: Breakdowns and Predictions

January 20, 2023 ~ David ~ Leave a comment

After a really wild Super Wild Card Weekend, we have our elite eight teams in the divisional round. Only seven games left in the 2023 NFL Season, so let’s hope their good ones!

The Jaguars miraculous comeback over the Chargers a week ago earned them a date with the Kansas City Chiefs. We know how good Andy Reid is when he has an extra week of preparation, but the Jaguars have gone into Kansas City already and hung with the Chiefs. I don’t think going back there will be too big a challenge for the Jags, if they can stop Mahomes and company

When the Jaguars run the ball, advantage: CHIEFS – The Jaguars couldn’t run the ball on the Chiefs in Round 1, and even though I could see Etienne getting more touches I just think the Chiefs defense is too much up front

When the Jaguars pass the ball, advantage: JAGUARS – As long as T-Law doesn’t turn the ball over, I could see Doug Pederson doing the same thing last week with getting the ball out quick and let the receivers run with the ball in their hands

When the Chiefs run the ball, advantage: CHIEFS – Isiah Pacheco has become a force in the run game, and when the Chargers were running the ball last week the Jags had no answer. Think this matchup favors the Chiefs

When the Chiefs pass the ball, advantage: CHIEFS – The Jags secondary could be an issue early on, but they don’t have anyone that matches up well with Travis Kelce or Juju Smith-Schuster

How can the Jaguars win this game: Find a way to shut down the pass game and get out to a fast start

How can the Chiefs win this game: Let Patrick Mahomes cook and put pressure on Trevor Lawrence

PREDICTION: Hey, I went 6/6 in wild card weekend last week. I would like to keep that record perfect, but I’d also like to take chances. Sadly, this won’t be one of them. The Chiefs are too explosive on offense, they’ll force Jacksonville into being one-dimensional on offense with their passing game, and Patrick Mahomes will do enough to win. I like the Chiefs 34-27 in this one

Oh, this is gonna be awesome. New York vs Philly, night game, playoffs, winner take all. The Eagles have been the best team in the NFL since the season started, but enter this week having lost two of their last three games now coming off a bye. The Giants have played solid ball, and it culminated in last week’s win over Minnesota. In two matchups the Eagles have dominated the Giants, but is the third time the charm for Big Blue?

When the Giants run the ball, advantage: GIANTS – Saquon speaks for himself, but this is where I could see Daniel Jones on some zone reads and boot legs to confuse the Eagles defense in the run game

When the Giants pass the ball, advantage: GIANTS – Avonte Maddox is out for Philadelphia, opening up some opportunities in the secondary. If the Giants win the battle up front, Danny Dimes could have some options (Kenny Golladay maybe?) in the pass game

When the Eagles run the ball, advantage: EAGLES – A lot of deception in the Eagles run game, Wink Martindale is gonna have to sell out and stop the run. But I don’t think the Giants have that much speed on the defensive side of the ball outside of Kayvon Thibodeaux

When the Eagles pass the ball, advantage: EAGLES – My only concern is how 100% is Jalen Hurts’s shoulder, but there will be a lot of 1v1 options in the pass game and Devonta Smith and AJ Brown are too good in 1v1 situations

How can the Giants win this game: Win the line of scrimmage and don’t turn the ball over

How can the Eagles win this game: Don’t get too overconfident and hold up against the run game

PREDICTION: UPSET OF THE WEEK: I’m gonna say third time IS the charm for Big Blue. I’m gonna take the Giants. I think the Eagles are a little overconfident, long layover, how 100% is Jalen Hurts’s shoulder, and I think the Giants are playing extremely confident that they can go into South Philly and win. Giants get the upset 27-24

The rematch. The pissed off Bengals heading up to Buffalo for a battle with the Bills. The Bengals would be in better shape if their offensive line was 100% healthy, but they’ll be down two offensive lineman and one of their corners is questionable. Damar Hamlin is potentially making a return to Buffalo for the Bills on Sunday, and that might give the Bills all the motivation to win this one for their injured teammate

When the Bengals run the ball, advantage: BENGALS – Cincinnati’s going to have to run the ball a lot to take the pressure off of Joe Burrow, and Buffalo’s succumb to good run games when they’re on defense

When the Bengals pass the ball, advantage: BILLS – Joe Burrow is dealing with a limited offensive line against one of the best front sevens in the league. Uh oh

When the Bills run the ball, advantage: BENGALS – Just because the Bills don’t rely on their run game as much and that plays right into the Bengals hands

When the Bills pass the ball, advantage: BILLS – If Josh Allen can not turn the ball over, those wide receivers can win those matchups against the Bengals secondary

How can the Bengals win this game: Run the ball to take pressure off of Joe Burrow, but he needs protection up front to win

How can the Bills win this game: No turnovers and run the football

PREDICTION: I have gone back and forth with this one, but with not much help up front and on the road I just can’t pick the Bengals to win the game. Joe Burrow will make one more mistake than Josh Allen to cost the Bengals the game and that’s what will decide this one. Bills 38-34

The old games between the 49ers and the Cowboys in Northern California were instant classics, and we may be in for another one between the Cowboys and 49ers when they take the field in Santa Clara on Sunday. This could be the toughest defense that Brock Purdy will have faced all season, but Dak Prescott will be facing off with Nick Bosa on the other side. Could be a game that will be decided by which team can make enough big plays in the passing game to win

When the Cowboys run the ball, advantage: 49ERS – Dallas’s two headed monster at running back might not be enough when it comes to the 49ers defensive line

When the Cowboys pass the ball, advantage: 49ERS – Jason Peters is questionable, limiting the Cowboys pass protection. How will Dak Prescott be able to perform against a balanced defense that doesn’t have to sell out to stop the run

When the 49ers run the ball, advantage: 49ERS – The one disadvantage that I see with the Cowboys defense is their front four is built to rush the passer, not stop a balanced running game like the 49ers. I think San Fran will take full advantage of that

When the 49ers pass the ball, advantage: COWBOYS – This is the one game I could see Brock Purdy making a few mistakes and the Cowboys pass rush getting after him

How can the Cowboys win this game: Sell out to stop the run, but get after the quarterback in passing situations

How can the 49ers win this game: Defense, defense, defense. But help out Brock Purdy with easy access throws

PREDICTION: The 49ers matchup well with the Cowboys and I think Kyle Shanahan will coach a better game than Mike McCarthy and get the job done in a close, low scoring, defensive game. 49ers 24-17

Statements and Goats of Super Wild Card Weekend

January 19, 2023 ~ David ~ Leave a comment

Been busy, getting ready to go back to school later this week, but here’s my post on who made statements and who were the goats of Super Wild Card Weekend. One statement and goat for each of the six games

STATEMENTS

Doug Pederson (Jacksonville) – What a response by the Jaguars down 27-0. Doug Pederson’s halftime adjustments paid off in the 2nd half. Quick passes for short yardage situations, much more balanced attack, and a great 4th down play call to set up the game winning field goal.
Daniel Jones and Brian Daboll (NY Giants) – Daniel Jones balled out in Minnesota. Made great throws and excellent reads throughout the game. But I give Brian Daboll a ton of credit for his leadership and his gameplan on defense. They took away Justin Jefferson in the second half and the pass rush got home a few times. The only road underdog to move onto the next round, and it happens to be the little team that could
Dak Prescott (Dallas) – Five total touchdowns, over 300 yards passing, only eight incompletions, no turnovers, and gave the Cowboys their first ever win against Tom Brady. Not to mention, the Cowboys won on the road in the playoffs for the first time in 30 years. I will say this, the Cowboys need much more than that if they’re going to take down the 49ers in Santa Clara this weekend
Sam Hubbard (Cincinnati) – The Bengals defense made the biggest play of the weekend. With Baltimore on the two yard line to start the 4th Quarter, the Bengals defensive line punched the ball out of Tyler Huntley’s hands and Sam Hubbard returned it 98 yards for the touchdown to ultimately give the Bengals the win. Now, the rematch up in Orchard Park.
Brock Purdy (San Francisco) – It wasn’t an easy first half for Mr. Irrelevant, but a 25 point first half will suffice in a dominant win for the 49ers. Purdy threw for 332 yards and four total touchdowns in the victory. I’m telling you guys, if they go to the Super Bowl with this quarterback play what’s to say he doesn’t keep the starting job?
The Buffalo Bills defense – When your offense isn’t having its day, you need stops and takeaways on defense to get it going. The Bills used key stops in the 2nd half and a critical interception by Kaiir Elam to get the offense a short field. But how confident is everyone with the Bills moving forward if they don’t stop the mistakes? I’m not sure I am

BAD GOATS

Brandon Staley (Los Angeles) – The Chargers had more incompletions than rushing attempts in the second half. When you have a 27-0 lead, it’s important to tear away from the fact that you have a QB like Justin Herbert and lean a little more on the run game with Austin Ekeler and Staley just didn’t do that. The Chargers should’ve fired him instead of Joe Lombardi, but hopefully they get a better offensive coach to develop their young quarterback
Tyler Huntley and John Harbaugh (Baltimore) – I have no problem with the QB sneak on the goal line, but if you’re not sure you can reach the ball across the plain of the goal then you shouldn’t extend it. Not a good play by Huntley. Now I think John Harbaugh is a great coach, but if you have timeouts with less than two minutes left YOU SHOULD BE USING THEM WHEN YOU’RE DEEP IN OPPONENTS TERRITORY!!!!! Horrible clock management and it cost the Ravens the game
Kirk Cousins (Minnesota) – You should all know why he’s making the list. You can’t throw a pass three yards into the flat when the yard marker is another five yards ahead. What happened to lobbing balls up to Justin Jefferson on 4th Down and long? You can blame the Vikings defense for sucking the whole game, but Kirk Cousins needs to get the ball to the sticks on 4th Down to extend the game and he didn’t. That’s why he’s on the list
Mike McDaniel (Miami) – Much like John Harbaugh, Mike McDaniel’s late game clock management was also a disaster for the Dolphins. He did a terrific job of preparing his team to battle the Bills, but misused his timeouts and took too much play clock off for Skylar Thompson on 4th and 1 which led to the delay of game penalty and ultimately, decided the game
The Seattle Seahawks defense – If you’re going to compete in the playoffs, you have to stop people. The first three quarters looked good for the Seahawks, but they just fell flat in the 4th Quarter and couldn’t stop the 49ers when it mattered. I will say this, the future is really bright in Seattle with their high draft pick and Geno coming back
Todd Bowles (Tampa Bay) – Did the Bucs even prepare the whole week? I just got the impression during the Monday night game against the Cowboys that the Buccaneers didn’t look ready to play. Brady seemed off, the defense couldn’t get off the field, and just kept getting beat by Dak Prescott in the passing game. Just a really rough night in Tampa and I have to blame Bowles for not having his team ready
Brett Maher (Dallas) – aha, yeah you’re making the list when you miss four straight extra points.

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